A survey of bank lending officers revealed that half of them would refuse to loan to a company that did not submit financial statements, even though these might not be explicitly requested. Bank lending officers exhibited no preference for inventory or depreciation methods, but believed that consistency in the use of accounting methods is important [Stephens,1980].
Another study attempted to compare General Price Level (GPL) and traditional ratios in the prediction of bankruptcy. GPL data was found to be neither more nor less accurate than historical data. To justify the expense of preparing GPL statements, GPL data would have to be more useful. The investigators noted that GPL data may or may not be of value for other uses of accounting data [Norton and Smith,1979].
An extensive study was made of ratio tests in the prediction of bankruptcy. All nonliquid asset ratios performed better than any of the liquid asset ratios -- including the highly-touted current ratio and acid-test ratio -- for anywhere from one to five years in advance of bankruptcy. The researcher explains that a firm with good profit prospects in a poor liquid asset position rarely has trouble obtaining necessary funds. Another surprising discovery was that the failed firms tended to have less rather than more inventory -- contrary to what the literature might suggest [Beaver,1968].
No comments:
Post a Comment